Expert analysis and betting tips for every match this round
Last updated: June 2026 — Round 15
Friday night at GMHBA Stadium
Geelong are formidable at Kardinia Park and Collingwood's travel record has been patchy this season. The Cats' midfield depth should prove too much for the Pies, especially if Patrick Dangerfield is fit. Look for Geelong to cover the line at home.
Tip: Geelong by 18 points
Best Bet: Geelong -8.5 @ $1.90
Saturday afternoon at the MCG
The traditional rivals meet with both sides fighting for a top-eight spot. Carlton's key position players give them an edge, but Essendon's speed on the spread can trouble the Blues. Expect a tight contest with the Bombers covering the start.
Tip: Carlton by 8 points
Best Bet: Essendon +12.5 @ $1.85
Saturday night at the Gabba
Brisbane's home record at the Gabba is elite. Sydney have been inconsistent away from the SCG. The Lions should have too much firepower up forward. Watch for the total points — this one could sail over the line.
Tip: Brisbane by 22 points
Best Bet: Over 170.5 total points @ $1.90
Sunday at the MCG
Two finals contenders going head-to-head. Melbourne's contest work around the ball is elite, but the Bulldogs' forward line is dangerous on transition. This shapes as the match of the round. Lean towards the Demons at the 'G.
Tip: Melbourne by 14 points
Best Bet: Melbourne -6.5 @ $1.90
Same Game Multi — Geelong vs Collingwood: Geelong to win + Over 160.5 total points + Jeremy Cameron 2+ goals. Combined odds around $2.80.
Multi Tip: Geelong (H2H) + Brisbane (H2H) + Melbourne (H2H) — combined odds approximately $3.50 for a three-leg multi.
Essendon +12.5 against Carlton looks good value at $1.85. The Bombers have covered the line in 6 of their last 8 matches and the Blues haven't been dominating opponents on the scoreboard.
Disclaimer: Tips are for informational and entertainment purposes only. Betting involves financial risk. Only gamble with money you can afford to lose. If you need help, contact Gambling Help Online at 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au.